Abstract—
This paper applies a layer of machine learning
technique such as the Bayesian Naïve Classifier (BNC) to
enhance the decision making process in the framework of
Earnings Manipulation Detection (EMD). It evaluates and
competes Manual Auditors’ Methods versus a mathematical
model in EMD such as the Beneish Model. The Data sets consist
of fifty-three (53) Financial Statements acquired from largest
corporations over four consecutive years. Using the Beneish
model, we classified corporations between manipulators and
non-manipulators to establish the training set. The manual
audit results for each corporation used to establish a test set as
the expert set. In testing for EMD under the mathematical
model versus the audit methods, and to evaluate results, a new
layer of Machine Learning technique introduced such as the
BNC. Our results show that mathematical models outperform
auditors. They reveal a classification rate of (86.84 per cent)
using the Beneish Model and (60.53 per cent) using Manual
Auditors’ Methods. Our findings indicate that Manual
Auditors’ Methods are difficult to detect Earnings
Manipulation of Financial Statements. The Main contribution
of this research is to use the Machine Learning as a new layer in
the Framework of EMD. This approach broadens the scope for
auditors, and other financial experts to use Machine Learning
with mathematical models through their audit. The results of
this study will help regulators and practitioners to detect
accounting manipulations and to add value for the auditing,
accounting, and financial professions.
Index Terms—
Beneish model, earnings manipulation,
machine learning, supervised classification.
Bilal Dbouk is with the Doctoral School of Law, Political, Economic and
Administrative Sciences, The Lebanese University (LU), Beirut, Lebanon
(e-mail: bilal_dbook@hotmail.com).
Iyad Zaarour is with the Faculty of Economics and Business
Administration, The Lebanese University (LU), Beirut, Lebanon.
[PDF]
Cite: B. Dbouk and I. Zaarour, "
Financial Statements Earnings Manipulation Detection
Using a Layer of Machine Learning," International Journal of Innovation, Management and Technology vol. 8, no. 3, pp. 172-179, 2017.